Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.324277 14.362190 16.579561 19.164619 22.088466 25.285724 29.039087
2025-11-09 8.614364 11.329109 14.588725 18.757536 23.910691 30.032704 37.812913
2025-11-16 6.421484 9.323023 13.094178 18.279703 25.138522 33.804636 45.471698
2025-11-23 4.877336 7.729465 11.701868 17.512715 25.645849 36.454095 51.696760
2025-11-30 4.176061 7.123441 11.470836 18.158571 27.951992 41.493990 61.293012
2025-12-07 3.636492 6.635473 11.294771 18.791145 30.213219 46.560297 71.210187
2025-12-14 2.991270 5.848676 10.528076 18.401767 30.877096 49.339737 78.020547
2025-12-21 2.456250 5.139839 9.765169 17.888676 31.243651 51.635505 84.196348
2025-12-28 2.242696 4.962350 9.849057 18.732214 33.770161 57.302705 95.692518
2026-01-04 2.021646 4.728030 9.794019 19.316363 35.897027 62.458641 106.678352
2026-01-11 1.764218 4.372300 9.465842 19.373845 37.126186 66.242661 115.708394
2026-01-18 1.547454 4.059051 9.170041 19.443884 38.357498 70.073737 124.986658
2026-01-25 1.304233 3.657496 8.681222 19.168541 39.080375 73.316488 133.864937
2026-02-01 1.083413 3.261842 8.152160 18.768546 39.572926 76.263721 142.557397
2026-02-08 0.894226 2.895358 7.622005 18.291720 39.862893 78.862049 150.805383
2026-02-15 0.719164 2.516521 6.995439 17.524511 39.504021 80.257793 157.032223
2026-02-22 0.656101 2.431611 7.032773 18.170780 41.959919 86.866430 172.724966
2026-03-01 0.599215 2.350183 7.064439 18.803726 44.433107 93.645536 189.064513
2026-03-08 0.501316 2.113318 6.667294 18.414124 44.763588 96.427196 198.324599
2026-03-15 0.414206 1.882891 6.243014 17.900737 44.773872 98.577800 206.515366
2026-03-22 0.389024 1.860921 6.377837 18.744762 47.767523 106.672549 226.152907
2026-03-29 0.357009 1.804510 6.406944 19.329247 50.232725 113.857360 244.404414
2026-04-05 0.312652 1.685943 6.236042 19.386761 51.521062 118.761603 258.534612